
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is eyeing a potential Republican primary challenge against incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn in 2026, saying he believes he could defeat Cornyn if he had at least $20 million for his campaign.
With Cornyn’s declining reputation among gun owners and his recent defeat in the race for Senate Majority Leader, his days in office may be numbered…
Cornyn’s Fundraising Prowess vs. Gun Owners’ Revolt
Cornyn, who has spent decades in Washington, remains a fundraising powerhouse and will undoubtedly have establishment backing. But money may not be enough to save him… His failed bid for Senate Majority Leader was a humiliating defeat, fueled by his long history of betraying gun owners.
Despite his recent pushback against ATF executive actions, many gun owners remember how Cornyn empowered the ATF in the first place through the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act — a bill that gave the agency new authority to crack down on gun sellers and pave the way for backdoor universal background checks.
Sen. John Cornyn gets BOOED during the Republican Party of Texas Convention over his support of gun control legislation
pic.twitter.com/NabgeRd7fZ
— Young Americans for Liberty (@YALiberty) June 17, 2022
In another hollow effort to win back gun owners, Cornyn is leading the charge for national concealed carry reciprocity — a bill that still requires Americans to obtain government permission to exercise their rights. But gun owners aren’t looking for half-measures. They want constitutional carry at the national level, and Cornyn has yet to offer a Senate companion to Rep. Thomas Massie’s National Constitutional Carry bill.
For many in the pro-gun movement, it may be too little, too late.
The NRA’s Waning Influence and the Rise of No-Compromise Gun Groups
For years, Cornyn relied on support from the National Rifle Association to maintain his “pro-gun” credentials. The NRA maintained Cornyn’s “A+” rating and endorsed him for re-election in 2022.
But the NRA’s influence has plummeted as gun owners have abandoned the organization in favor of no-compromise groups like Texas Gun Rights and the National Association for Gun Rights — groups that have consistently opposed Cornyn’s compromises on the Second Amendment.
Unlike the NRA, both TXGR and NAGR don’t cut backroom deals on gun control and lead the charge against Cornyn’s BSCA betrayal.
In recent years, TXGR, the state affiliate of NAGR, has even surpassed the Texas State Rifle Association as the largest gun rights organization in Texas. The TSRA is the NRA’s state affiliate in Texas.

Paxton: The Pro-Gun Firebrand
If Ken Paxton enters the Senate race, he will likely be welcomed with open arms by gun owners across Texas. As Attorney General, Paxton has been the most actively pro-gun AG in the country, repeatedly taking the Biden Administration and the ATF to court over unconstitutional gun regulations.
He sued the ATF over their attempt to redefine who qualifies as a firearms dealer, securing a temporary block on Biden’s latest gun control scheme.
Paxton has also defended Texas’ “made in Texas” suppressor law in court — and has refused to enforce federal gun restrictions that violate the Second Amendment.
And last fall, Paxton took action against the State Fair of Texas for banning lawful carry on publicly owned property, a case that Texas Gun Rights directly influenced with a legal brief filed at the AG’s request.
For Texas gun owners, Paxton represents the bold, unflinching leadership they demand in Washington. With Cornyn scrambling to rewrite his anti-gun legacy, it may be too late for him to win back the grassroots movement he abandoned.
The 2026 Republican primary for U.S. Senate is shaping up to be a battle for the soul of the Second Amendment in Texas — and gun owners may finally have their chance to send Cornyn packing.
Chris McNutt is president of Texas Gun Rights.
When Cornyn gave the Puppet Admin an assist by helping to pass that, it came out that Cornyn wouldn’t be seeking reelection. Was that a rumor, or was that a lie put out by Cornyn to soften the negative feedback he was receiving? Is he definitely running for reelection?
Yup, Cornyn’s running: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4684779-cornyn-will-seek-reelection-to-senate-in-2026-god-willing/
On paper, this could be a reprise of the Ted Cruz / David Dewhurst 2012 race, where the populist conservative Cruz overcame a huge fundraising advantage and near 100% GOPe backing for then-Tx. Lt. Gov. David Dewshurst, and crushed him by 14 points.
While Paxton has done a lot of good things as AG (mostly by setting an agenda and hiring very good people at the Tx AG’s / SG’s office (and then letting them operate)), don’t fall too much in love with him. Cruz was (and is) a supremely capable lawyer (he was the Texas Solicitor General and actually argued very high profile cases); Paxton is not. Paxton also has no small number of skeletons in his closet (his reputation at a lawyer before he became AG was sketchy at best); Cornyn will not shy from exposing them.
I think a lot of this may boil down to who PDT supports. Cornyn now knows he cannot do anything but dance to the Trump tune, so he’s unlikely to give PDT an excuse to undercut him. We’ll just have to see whether he collects enough chits from the administration to avoid Trump backing Paxton.
Trump’s backing hinges on how much personal support he thinks he’ll get in return. Since Cornyn is already in, and a powerful senator, I think Trump would pick him. I wish Trump would stay out of the primary.
Cornyn has already proven and demonstrated that he is a snake. Hopefully President Trump will see Cornyn for what he really is and not support him. As LKB pointed out, Paxton is not exactly the cream of the crop. The difference is Cornyn has proven to be untrustworthy.